Phoenix Center Finds that Statistical Analysis is Inexpertly Performed; the Empirical Model is Poorly Motivated, Poorly Designed, and Improperly Estimated


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[STK]

[IN] MUS CPR

[SU] SVY NPT ECO

TO BUSINESS, AND NATIONAL EDITORS:

Phoenix Center Refutes Study Claiming that File Sharing Does Not

Reduce Creation of New Music

WASHINGTON, March 13, 2014 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- There are a

growing number of studies which challenge the traditional and

constitutional view of Copyright by arguing that piracy (an

infringement on the exclusive right) has not hurt and, possibly even

helped, professional artists and performers. In a new economic

analysis released today entitled What is the Effect of File Sharing on

the Creation of New Music? A Critical Review of "A Case Study of File

Sharing and Music Output", Phoenix Center Chief Economist Dr. George

S. Ford reviews one such study by Tulane University Law Professor

Glynn Lunney, Jr. and finds that Dr. Lunney's analysis suffers from

defects so severe as to render it useless for guiding public policy.

In particular, Dr. Lunney argues that "file sharing has not reduced

the creation of new original music" based on the correlation of music

sales over time to the appearance of "new artists" appearing at the

top of Billboard's Hot 100 chart. As Dr. Ford demonstrates, however,

given the ever-changing definition of the Hot 100 chart, any observed

changes in the composition of the chart over time are as likely to be

a consequence of the Hot 100's changing definition as it is file

sharing. Accordingly, the Hot 100 is a meaningless measure of music

output over time.

Dr. Ford also demonstrates that Professor Lunney uses improper

statistical procedures and, by his own analysis, all of Professor

Lunney's results disappear once the proper estimation method is

applied. Moreover, putting aside the many severe statistical defects

of Professor Lunney's study -- many of which are detailed by Dr. Ford

-- Professor Lunney's reported results are entirely consistent with

the expectations of the standard theory of copyright: Piracy reduces

the creation of new works.

"The general principle that payment to producers encourages production

is, so far as I know, not under attack in any venue except copyright,"

said Dr. Ford. "Claims of special and unique circumstances in

intellectual property require extraordinary evidence -- a burden that

Professor Lunney has totally failed to meet."

"Professor Lunney's argument misses the point," said Phoenix Center

President Lawrence J. Spiwak. "The purpose of copyright is not, as Dr.

Lunney believes, to promote exclusively the creation of 'new artists'

and their Hot 100 hit count, but to promote the creation of new works

and other creative output by established artists, new artists, and

even artists that will never have a song appear in the Hot 100 chart

where songs like "What Does the Fox Say?" measure artistic genius."

A full copy of Phoenix Center Policy Perspective No. 14-02: What is

the Effect of File Sharing on the Creation of New Music? A Critical

Review of "A Case Study of File Sharing and Music Output" may be

downloaded free from the Phoenix Center's web page at:

http://www.phoenix-center.org/perspectives/Perspective14-02Final.pdf.

The Phoenix Center is a non-profit 501(c)(3) organization that studies

broad public-policy issues related to governance, social and economic

conditions, with a particular emphasis on the law and economics of the

digital age.

Phoenix Center for Advanced Legal & Economic Public Policy Studies

5335 Wisconsin Avenue, NW Suite 440 Washington, D.C. 20015 Tel: (+1)

(202) 274-0235 Fax: (+1) (202) 318-4909 E-mail:

info@phoenix-center.org Web Page: www.phoenix-center.org Twitter:

@lawandeconomics

SOURCE Phoenix Center

-0- 03/13/2014

/CONTACT: Lawrence J. Spiwak, +1 (202) 274-0235

/Web Site: http://www.phoenix-center.org/

CO: Phoenix Center

ST: District of Columbia

IN: MUS CPR

SU: SVY NPT ECO

PRN

-- DC82361 --

0000 03/13/2014 14:00:00 EDT http://www.prnewswire.com

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