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AP-UT-GJT-UT SuppressionForecast


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AP-UT-GJT-UT SuppressionForecast

000

FNUS75 KGJT 161929

FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST CABEZON...USFS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO

129 PM MDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1305 MDT ON APRIL 16.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER

SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE IS MOVING INTO THE BURN SITE AREA THOUGH IS

NOT EXPECTED TO PROVIDE MUCH MORE THAN HIGH CLOUDS AND GUSTY CONDITIONS.

WEATHER STATIONS DOWNSTREAM OF THE BURN SITE ARE CURRENTLY GUSTING TO

NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES SO GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THE PARTIALLY

SHELTERED ENVIRONMENT. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AS THE

DISTURBANCE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.

MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (178900 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 THEN BECOMING PARTLY

CLOUDY (40-50.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.

MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND

OVERNIGHT.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (117900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR

(3000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND

OVERNIGHT.

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL IN THE

LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.

MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.

20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN

THE AFTERNOON.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (56300 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI

REQUESTED BY...JESSE RAMERIZE

TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 20140416.EASTC.02/GJT

Delivered by Weather Underground Inc. Wed Apr 16 2014 3:29PM EDT

Copyright © The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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