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AP-UT-GJT-UT SuppressionForecast
000
FNUS75 KGJT 090638
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBCAT CANYON RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1238 AM MDT WED APR 9 2014
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT TODAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED IN
NORTHWEST MEXICO BUT GETS FLATTENED TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WORKS INTO THE CANADIAN ROCKIES. THIS WILL BRING WARMER...
DRIER...AND GUSTIER CONDITIONS TO THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT THE AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL FALL BELOW THE
CRITICAL 15 PERCENT VALUE. BUT LESS CONFIDENCE THE AFTERNOON WIND
GUSTS WILL REACH 25 MPH AS HIGH CLOUDS MAY HAMPER DEEPER MIXING.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY TOWARDS SUNSET...BUT REDEVELOP
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AT 0900 INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-7 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140409.BOBCA.01/GJT
Delivered by Weather Underground Inc. Wed Apr 9 2014 2:39AM EDT
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