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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200338
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU MAR 20 2014
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N88W TO 07N122W TO 05N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION.
...DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS ARE RELATIVELY QUIET ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH
STRONGEST WINDS ONLY REACHING FRESH BREEZE IMMEDIATELY N OF THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE AND HIGHEST SEAS BARELY REACHING 8 FT N OF 29N
W OF 125W. A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDS S-SE FROM 1030 MB HIGH WELL N
OF AREA NEAR 41N139W TO AROUND 20N IN THE TROPICAL NE PACIFIC.
VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO SYNOPTIC PATTERN DURING THE
NEXT 2-3 DAYS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE N OF THE
ITCZ W OF 110W WITH COMBINED SEAS REACHING 7-8 FT. A MODEST NW
SWELL EVENT WITH SEAS TO 8-9 FT WILL REACH FAR NW PORTION THIS
EVENING AND SPREAD SE TO COVER AN AREA NW OF LINE FROM 30N122W
TO 17N140W THROUGH THU EVENING AS IT DECAYS.
A MINOR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
COMMENCE 18-24 HOURS FROM NOW...PEAKING AT 30 KT N OF 14.5N IN
30 HOURS...THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS.
WIND-DRIVEN SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY REACH 9-10 FT THU NIGHT.
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WILL EXPERIENCE DIURNAL PULSING OF HIGH
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG W CARIBBEAN WINDS FUNNELING THROUGH
CENTRAL AMERICA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES PEAK
WINDS GREATER THAN 25 KT WILL OCCUR AROUND 12Z EACH MORNING THU
THROUGH MON...WITH WIND-DRIVEN SEAS REACHING 8-9 FT BETWEEN 12Z-
18Z DOWNWIND FROM THE PAPAGAYO SOURCE REGION.
$$
MUNDELL
Delivered by Weather Underground Inc. Wed Mar 19 2014 11:38PM EDT
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