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Exit Polls Could Be Best Early Indication in Election Results

Exit Polls Could Be Best Early Indication in Election Results



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Richard Piatt ReportingFinal results of this year's election could be slow to come, and that means exit polls could be the best early indication of which candidates win.

Long lines and packed booths for absentee voting are one indication this will be a big year for voter turnout.

Sherrie Swenson, Salt Lake County Clerk: "It's been larger than anything I've seen."

More registered voters and more people voting. That could delay final results more than anything else, according to Salt Lake County Clerk Sherrie Swenson.

Sherrie Swenson: "Well we're just having them just place a label on page five in each of the voting machines in each precinct."

With the write-in question solved in the Salt Lake County Mayor's race, ballots themselves are not expected to be a problem. Instead, voters in line when the polls close could slow things down.

Sherrie Swenson: "The last person in line at eight o'clock has to vote, if they have to wait in line for an hour or more after the polls close, they get to vote, they're entitled to.”

On a night when candidates and political junkies are eager for anything that will indicate a winner, an exit poll could be the next best thing. Here’s a look at this year's exit poll---used exclusively for KSL by Dan Jones and Associates.

Staff at 70 precincts statewide will ask for voluntary participation. Specific questions about political affiliation, past voting trends, religion, gender all increase the polls accuracy according to Jones.

Dan Jones, Political Pollster: "It gives you a study of stephology, the study of voting behavior, which I think is important. And the only way you get that information is through exit interviews."

Candidates are still reluctant to declare victory on the basis of exit polls. Absentee and provisional ballots are both counted later, and can potentially affect close races.

When the polls close at 8pm Tuesday, KSL TV will project winners in all of Utah's main races, based on exit polling by Dan Jones and Associates. We expect some may be too close to call.

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