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WASHINGTON (Reuters) — Behind in opinion polls, U.S. President Donald Trump gets a late chance to make his case for reelection before a vast audience of Americans when he squares off against Democratic rival Joe Biden on Thursday in their last debate before the Nov. 3 vote.
Trump, a Republican, trails former Vice President Biden, a Democrat, significantly in national polls less than two weeks before Election Day, though the contest is much tighter in some battleground states where the election will likely be decided.
Opinion polls show there are relatively few voters who have yet to make up their minds. A record 42 million Americans have already cast ballots ahead of the debate in Nashville, Tennessee, meaning Trump's window to influence the outcome of the race may be closing.
The pressure is on Biden, 77, to deliver a disciplined performance to appeal to the undecided voters and not to allow Trump to get under his skin with attacks on his family, especially his son Hunter, a favorite target of the president's.
One Biden adviser said the Democrats' aides want him to counter Trump without seeming un-presidential.
September's contentious first debate between the pair was watched by at least 73 million viewers. Trump, 74, passed up another planned debate last week after it was switched to a virtual format in the wake of his COVID-19 diagnosis.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Biden ahead by nine points nationally, down from 12 points during the first week of October. He retained a sizeable edge in the competitive states of Michigan and Wisconsin.
Debate strategy
If Trump wants to win over undecided voters during the debate, he may have to modify his behavior from the first face-off, in which he repeatedly interrupted Biden, attacked him personally, and showed little respect for the moderator. Swing voters, particularly women, were turned off by his actions, post-debate polls and focus groups showed.
Michael Steel, a Republican who served as a top aide to former House Speaker John Boehner, said Trump needs to take a step back and give space for Biden to make mistakes.
"There is probably nothing President Trump can do in terms of attacking Biden that he didn't already try in the first debate," Steel said. "He now needs to rope-a-dope, laying back and acting presidential while needling Biden to flub - and flub badly."
Each candidate's microphone will be switched off while his opponent makes his two-minute introductory statement on a topic, so as to give uninterrupted speaking time. Both microphones will then be active for the discussion period that follows.
Debate topics will include the pandemic, race relations, climate change and national security. The Trump campaign argued that the entire debate should be focused on foreign policy.
White House spokeswoman Alyssa Farah told Fox Business Network on Thursday that Trump planned to address his own priorities, regardless of the questions posed.
"He's going to answer those topics, but he's also going, frankly, to answer the questions he wants to. If we don't get to China he's prepared to bring up China and Joe Biden's disastrous record on it," she said, adding that Trump would also bring up his economic recovery plans.
Trump is expected to return to a line of attack that surfaced in the first debate, accusing Biden and his son Hunter Biden of unethical practices in China and Ukraine. No evidence has been verified that supports the corruption allegations by Trump and his aides, and Biden in the first debate called them false and discredited.
Biden is expected to continue to criticize Trump's handling of the pandemic, with cases on the rise in several states, while arguing that the outbreak has had a disproportionate economic impact on low-wage workers.
Biden has been under pressure to explain his position on a push by some within his party to "pack" the Supreme Court to counter its rightward drift, by expanding the number of justices from the current nine.
He said on Thursday that if elected he would put together a bipartisan commission of scholars to examine reforming a federal judiciary he called "out of whack," noting that there are alternatives to consider besides expanding the Supreme Court.
2020 Election
Increased mail-in voting, COVID-19, and a variety of state-by-state election formats contribute to a unique 2020 election. As a result, it is likely that many close House and Senate races, as well as the presidency, will not be called on Nov. 3. States may also shift in outcome in the days or weeks following the election — an expected change experts have warned about as results are returned. While human error happens, both mail-in and in-person voting have extremely low rates of fraud. The state of Utah has used vote-by-mail since 2012. It has safeguards in place to make sure every ballot it receives is legitimate.
(Reporting by James Oliphant; Additional reporting by Steve Holland and Trevor Hunnicutt; Writing by Alistair Bell; Editing by Colleen Jenkins, Ross Colvin and Rosalba O'Brien)
© Copyright Thomson Reuters 2020
