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Dan Jones polling results released for statewide races



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SALT LAKE CITY — With less than a week to go before Election Day, candidates around the state are making a final push. And new polling numbers from Dan Jones show some really interesting races.

As many would suspect, most Utahns support Mitt Romney. Among Utah voters, Romney leads President Barack Obama by 43 percent. Only five percent of those surveyed are undecided.

In the governor's race, Gary Herbert is leading challenger Peter Cooke by 45 percent, with eight percent of voters undecided.

Dan Jones Survey
President (Utah Voters)
Mitt Romney69%
Barack Obama26%
Other/Undecided5%
Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
Governor
Gary Herbert69%
Peter Cooke24%
Other/Undecided8%
Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
Attorney General
John Swallow55%
Dee Smith24%
Undecided18%
Other3%
Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
Senate
Orrin Hatch63%
Scott Howell26%
Other/Undecided11%
Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
House 1st District
Rob Bishop72%
Donna McAleer15%
Other/Undecided13%
Margin of error: +/- 7.0%
House 2nd District
Chris Stewart44%
Jay Seegmiller28%
Undecided22%
Other6%
Margin of error: +/- 6.5%
House 3rd District
Jason Chaffetz68%
Soren Simonsen18%
Undecided10%
Other4%
Margin of error: +/- 6.4%
Salt Lake County Mayor
Mark Crockett41%
Ben McAdams44%
Undecided12%
Other3%
Margin of error: +/- 4.3%

Salt Lake County mayoral hopeful Ben McAdams has inched ahead of Republican Mark Crockett in a race that's still too close to call.

The poll has McAdams ahead by three points, with 44 percent of voters surveyed indicating they likely will cast their ballots for the Democrat. Another 41 percent said they likely will vote for Crockett.

McAdams' three-point lead falls within the plus or minus 4.3 percent margin of error, indicating the race will go down to the wire.

The poll of 523 registered voters in Salt Lake County was conducted between Oct. 26 and Nov. 1. Thirty-seven percent of those surveyed said they already had cast their ballots through early voting or mail-in ballots.

The new poll numbers are a reversal of a KSL/Deseret News poll in September that showed McAdams trailing by three points. The amount of undecided voters has dropped as the election nears, with 12 percent of voters saying they haven't made up their minds compared with September's 21 percent.

Pollster Dan Jones said the final moments of the race between Crockett and McAdams will be "a real donnybrook" that will be decided in a ground war.

"It will come down to which campaign is the most organized, is out knocking doors and gets people moving," Jones said.

Results for the Fourth Congressional District race between Jim Matheson and Mia Love will be released Sunday at 9 a.m. on Sunday Edition with Richard Piatt.

McKinzie Romero
    KSL.com

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